TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098844
Played Sep 9Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116511112117––
Lubos Forman
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 64 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Milan Regner at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 1–0 Lubos Forman Lubos Forman has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1247 vs Forman 1152
Regner
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Forman 40%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 70% vs Forman 40%
Regner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +2 · Forman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.53 / Forman 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098844
Regner1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Forman2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRegner1wins
AwayForman0wins
Regner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRegnerFormanR − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.026.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 524 vs 191 / 38246.6%50%244 / 524 vs 191 / 382Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.53/Forman 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner—11511113L. Forman—611271
M. Regner10
WSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113LSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113
L. Forman10
LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
L. Forman
Nothing scheduled
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