TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098138
Played Sep 9Finished
Lubos Forman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811119117711
Ludek Madle
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubos Forman above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ludek Madle at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Forman 2–3 Ludek Madle Lubos Forman has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Madle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Forman 1161 vs Madle 1242
Madle
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Forman 60% vs Madle 0%
Forman
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Forman 40% vs Madle 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Forman -1 · Madle -5
Madle
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Madle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsForman 2.00 / Madle 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Madle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098138
Forman2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Madle1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeForman2wins
AwayMadle3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMadle leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeForman66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadlen = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Forman3Madle2n = 5Forman took 3 of 5
S2Forman1Madle4n = 5Madle took 4 of 5
S3Forman2Madle3n = 5Madle took 3 of 5
S4Forman3Madle1n = 4Forman took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricFormanMadleF − MBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.639.0−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFormanMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 381 vs 261 / 54550.1%47.9%191 / 381 vs 261 / 545Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleForman 2.00/Madle 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman—88111172L. Madle—111197113
WAug 18 · 06:00L. Forman—111110113L. Madle—981231
LMay 19 · 07:30L. Forman—9540L. Madle—1111113
WMay 11 · 08:30L. Forman—12611153L. Madle—10117131
LMay 8 · 07:30L. Forman—114671L. Madle—71111113
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731LAug 18 · 08:30L. Forman2.6361111792A. Hejduk1.44116411113
L. Madle10
LSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142
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