TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098135
Played Sep 9Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ludek Madle at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 34–38 Jiri Grohsgott Ludek Madle has won 34 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-38 in 72
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 4 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1242 vs Grohsgott 1265
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 20% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 40% vs Grohsgott 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle +1 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Madle) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.61 / Grohsgott 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Grohsgott)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098135
Madle1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 77
Grohsgott2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 141 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle6wins
AwayGrohsgott4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMadle leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle62.5%5 of 8
AwayGrohsgottn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle8Grohsgott2n = 10Madle took 8 of 10
S2Madle6Grohsgott4n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S3Madle5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Madle6Grohsgott2n = 8Madle took 6 of 8
S5Madle0Grohsgott3n = 3Grohsgott took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleGrohsgottM − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.735.6+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 544 vs 753 / 153948%48.9%261 / 544 vs 753 / 1539Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.61/Grohsgott 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 10:00L. Madle—119991J. Grohsgott—71111113
LAug 24 · 08:58L. Madle—111211782J. Grohsgott—614811113
LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle—11991682J. Grohsgott—8111114113
WAug 21 · 07:00L. Madle—1111113J. Grohsgott—6420
LAug 20 · 08:59L. Madle—711511102J. Grohsgott—118117123
WAug 20 · 07:00L. Madle—1111113J. Grohsgott—6560
WAug 13 · 06:00L. Madle—13811113J. Grohsgott—1111791
WAug 11 · 08:00L. Madle—121111113J. Grohsgott—144691
WAug 6 · 06:00L. Madle—11117113J. Grohsgott—971141
WJul 22 · 06:30L. Madle—11116113J. Grohsgott—381191
L. Madle10
WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113WAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782
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