TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109827
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11951110121513115
Ladislav Novotny
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Ladislav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 102 set 5, 11-5
102 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 23–21 Ladislav Novotny Ladislav Novotny has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Strnad beat Novotny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.20 / Novotny 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Novotny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109827
Strnad2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 24 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Novotny1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 47 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad4wins
AwayNovotny6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad66.7%2 of 3
AwayNovotny71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad3Novotny7n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S2Strnad2Novotny8n = 10Novotny took 8 of 10
S3Strnad5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad2Novotny5n = 7Novotny took 5 of 7
S5Strnad3Novotny0n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadNovotnyS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.839.5−5.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 359 vs 182 / 36741.2%49.6%148 / 359 vs 182 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyStrnad 2.20/Novotny 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 11:30J. Strnad—1151112123L. Novotny—711714102
LSep 3 · 06:00J. Strnad—541151L. Novotny—11117113
LSep 1 · 07:00J. Strnad—6580L. Novotny—1111113
WAug 28 · 13:30J. Strnad—111166113L. Novotny—98111152
LAug 28 · 11:30J. Strnad—14660L. Novotny—1611113
WAug 27 · 07:00J. Strnad—371111113L. Novotny—11117662
LAug 25 · 13:00J. Strnad—861171L. Novotny—11117113
WAug 25 · 10:00J. Strnad—81211113L. Novotny—1110391
LJun 30 · 11:00J. Strnad—104100L. Novotny—1211123
LJun 27 · 06:00J. Strnad—119651L. Novotny—91111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 10 · 12:00J. Strnad3.40811871J. Cernik1.3011511113WSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:00J. Strnad3.006880M. Smesny1.361111113LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113
L. Novotny10
LSep 10 · 12:30M. Smesny1.531111113L. Novotny2.388870LSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:30J. Cernik2.1061111113L. Novotny1.67117961LSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny2.637550J. Srba1.441111113WSep 10 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.83111171262L. Novotny1.83771114113LSep 10 · 07:30L. Novotny2.5012511572J. Srba1.501011511113WSep 10 · 06:30J. Cernik1.9147110L. Novotny1.801111133LSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
L. Novotny
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