TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059592
Played Sep 3Finished
Stanislav Mazanek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611311115911
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeStanislav Mazanek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 83 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Stanislav Mazanek at 58.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 4–2 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mazanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Mazanek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1236 vs Strnad 1323
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 0% vs Strnad 40%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 40% vs Strnad 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek -5 · Strnad -2
Mazanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mazanek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazanek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 1.73 / Strnad 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059592
Mazanek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 54 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Strnad2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMazanek4wins
AwayStrnad2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderMazanek leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek75%3 of 4
AwayStrnadn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek4Strnad2n = 6Mazanek took 4 of 6
S2Mazanek3Strnad3n = 6split evenly
S3Mazanek3Strnad3n = 6split evenly
S4Mazanek4Strnad2n = 6Mazanek took 4 of 6
S5Mazanek2Strnad2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMazanekStrnadM − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match44.241.8+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 293 vs 528 / 108649.5%48.6%145 / 293 vs 528 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazanekMazanek 1.73/Strnad 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mazanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek—11631192J. Strnad—511115113
WAug 19 · 02:30S. Mazanek—8111511113J. Strnad—11717662
WAug 12 · 02:59S. Mazanek—1111510113J. Strnad—68111282
WAug 11 · 22:30S. Mazanek—11611113J. Strnad—911591
WFeb 27 · 02:30S. Mazanek—12311113J. Strnad—1011171
LMay 20 · 16:30S. Mazanek—61411592J. Strnad—1112811113
S. Mazanek10
LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113LAug 27 · 24:00V. Kosar1.501111113S. Mazanek2.502370WAug 26 · 22:30J. Pleskot1.737770S. Mazanek2.001111113WAug 19 · 03:00V. Sr1.57117531S. Mazanek2.2581111113WAug 19 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.578111511113J. Strnad2.2511717662LAug 19 · 01:30M. Syroha2.0061211163S. Mazanek1.7311104141
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LAug 19 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.578111511113J. Strnad2.2511717662
Upcoming Matches
S. Mazanek
Nothing scheduled
J. Strnad
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.