TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13014393
Played Aug 27Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112113117––––
Stanislav Mazanek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Stanislav Mazanek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 45 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 61.8%
45 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 7–5 Stanislav Mazanek Stanislav Mazanek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kosar
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1345 vs Mazanek 1311
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 40% vs Mazanek 80%
Mazanek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Mazanek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar -2 · Mazanek +3
Mazanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazanek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.50 / Mazanek 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kosar)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13014393
Kosar1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 52 of 62
Mazanek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 25 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar6wins
AwayMazanek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKosar leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar71.4%5 of 7
AwayMazanek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar7Mazanek3n = 10Kosar took 7 of 10
S2Kosar4Mazanek6n = 10Mazanek took 6 of 10
S3Kosar6Mazanek4n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S4Kosar4Mazanek4n = 8split evenly
S5Kosar3Mazanek2n = 5Kosar took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarMazanekK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.5+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarMazanekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 421 vs 148 / 29249.9%50.7%210 / 421 vs 148 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.50/Mazanek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 01:30V. Kosar—119145133S. Mazanek—5111211112
WMar 20 · 03:30V. Kosar—1111133S. Mazanek—99110
WFeb 27 · 04:30V. Kosar—1111113S. Mazanek—7530
LFeb 27 · 01:00V. Kosar—88111152S. Mazanek—111167113
WFeb 13 · 24:00V. Kosar—11611113S. Mazanek—611971
LJan 23 · 04:00V. Kosar—11771162S. Mazanek—411116113
LJan 23 · 01:00V. Kosar—125681S. Mazanek—101111113
LNov 21 · 01:30V. Kosar—861181S. Mazanek—11115113
WJul 1 · 16:00V. Kosar—111189113S. Mazanek—65111172
WJun 20 · 24:00V. Kosar—1011811133S. Mazanek—125119112
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192
S. Mazanek10
LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113WAug 26 · 22:30J. Pleskot1.737770S. Mazanek2.001111113WAug 19 · 03:00V. Sr1.57117531S. Mazanek2.2581111113WAug 19 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.578111511113J. Strnad2.2511717662LAug 19 · 01:30M. Syroha2.0061211163S. Mazanek1.7311104141
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