TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450002
Played Aug 19Finished
Stanislav Mazanek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111171517116116
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeStanislav Mazanek to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 103 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Stanislav Mazanek at 60.9%
103 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 3–1 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mazanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Mazanek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1281 vs Strnad 1304
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 60% vs Strnad 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 50% vs Strnad 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek -1 · Strnad +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mazanek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 1.57 / Strnad 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Mazanek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450002
Mazanek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 57 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Strnad2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 100 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMazanek3wins
AwayStrnad1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMazanek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek100%3 of 3
AwayStrnadn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek3Strnad1n = 4Mazanek took 3 of 4
S2Mazanek2Strnad2n = 4split evenly
S3Mazanek3Strnad1n = 4Mazanek took 3 of 4
S4Mazanek2Strnad2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMazanekStrnadM − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.240.2+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 294 vs 514 / 105850%48.6%147 / 294 vs 514 / 1058Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazanekMazanek 1.57/Strnad 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Mazanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mazanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 12 · 02:59S. Mazanek—1111510113J. Strnad—68111282
WAug 11 · 22:30S. Mazanek—11611113J. Strnad—911591
WFeb 27 · 02:30S. Mazanek—12311113J. Strnad—1011171
LMay 20 · 16:30S. Mazanek—61411592J. Strnad—1112811113
S. Mazanek10
LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113LAug 27 · 24:00V. Kosar1.501111113S. Mazanek2.502370WAug 26 · 22:30J. Pleskot1.737770S. Mazanek2.001111113WAug 19 · 03:00V. Sr1.57117531S. Mazanek2.2581111113LAug 19 · 01:30M. Syroha2.0061211163S. Mazanek1.7311104141
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113
Upcoming Matches
S. Mazanek
Nothing scheduled
J. Strnad
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