TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128658
Played Sep 16Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117117311911
Michal Syroha
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Michal Syroha at 64.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 7–17 Michal Syroha Ludek Madle has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-17 in 24
Syroha
Correct
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1116 vs Syroha 1203
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 0% vs Syroha 40%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 20% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -5 · Syroha -1
Madle
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 2.25 / Syroha 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Syroha)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128658
Madle2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Syroha1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle2wins
AwaySyroha8wins
8 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle16.7%1 of 6
AwaySyroha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle6Syroha4n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S2Madle3Syroha7n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Madle5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S4Madle5Syroha4n = 9Madle took 5 of 9
S5Madle1Syroha7n = 8Syroha took 7 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away770%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleSyrohaM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.644.9−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 544 vs 344 / 68547.4%50.2%258 / 544 vs 344 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaMadle 2.25/Syroha 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle4281111392M. Syroha47117711113
LJul 28 · 17:30L. Madle207580M. Syroha331111113
LJul 28 · 14:00L. Madle48111191072M. Syroha44551112113
LJul 23 · 15:30L. Madle4511951192M. Syroha46611117113
LJul 6 · 09:30L. Madle4514811482M. Syroha541211911113
WJul 6 · 07:30L. Madle3711114113M. Syroha29881121
LJul 2 · 16:00L. Madle46611111172M. Syroha48111349113
LFeb 13 · 04:08L. Madle4411671192M. Syroha46711116113
LFeb 13 · 02:00L. Madle561215111262M. Syroha591017714113
WNov 6 · 23:00L. Madle43631211113M. Syroha43111110562
L. Madle10
LSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102LSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113LSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113
M. Syroha10
LSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113LSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha2.00119119113D. Mutl1.7381191192LSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950LSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123WSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750WSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Vrabec2.20611110M. Syroha1.601113133WSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:30M. Vrabec3.00741113113M. Syroha1.36111191152
Upcoming Matches
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