TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129700
Played Sep 15Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611113711117117
Michal Syroha
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 72.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 9–2 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1234 vs Syroha 1204
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 100% vs Syroha 60%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 70% vs Syroha 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +5 · Syroha +1
Pelikan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.22 / Syroha 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Pelikan)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129700
Pelikan1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 43 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Syroha4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back16% 12 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelikan8wins
AwaySyroha2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan77.8%7 of 9
AwaySyrohan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan9Syroha1n = 10Pelikan took 9 of 10
S2Pelikan6Syroha4n = 10Pelikan took 6 of 10
S3Pelikan8Syroha2n = 10Pelikan took 8 of 10
S4Pelikan3Syroha4n = 7Syroha took 4 of 7
S5Pelikan2Syroha2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelikanSyrohaP − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.834.3+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 295 vs 343 / 68349.2%50.2%145 / 295 vs 343 / 683Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.22/Syroha 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 24:30J. Pelikan3711114113M. Syroha35791181
WJul 1 · 02:00J. Pelikan43118112113M. Syroha4371181162
LFeb 25 · 20:00J. Pelikan3912115382M. Syroha501071111113
LNov 23 · 22:00J. Pelikan4111511772M. Syroha45811411113
WNov 23 · 20:00J. Pelikan331111113M. Syroha237880
WMay 21 · 21:30J. Pelikan331111113M. Syroha238780
WMay 21 · 19:00J. Pelikan331111113M. Syroha229580
WMay 10 · 21:00J. Pelikan47117117113M. Syroha3231141132
WMay 10 · 18:00J. Pelikan4211911113M. Syroha35811791
WApr 1 · 17:11J. Pelikan4071111113M. Syroha35119961
J. Pelikan10
WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113
M. Syroha10
WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113WSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha2.00119119113D. Mutl1.7381191192LSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950LSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123WSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750WSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Vrabec2.20611110M. Syroha1.601113133WSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:30M. Vrabec3.00741113113M. Syroha1.36111191152WSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102
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