TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110166
Played Sep 11Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210711116411111
Vojtech Stach
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 84 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 1–0 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1208 vs Stach 1180
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 80% vs Stach 60%
Pelikan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 50% vs Stach 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +3 · Stach +1
Pelikan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.80 / Stach 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pelikan)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110166
Pelikan1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Stach1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 23 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePelikan1wins
AwayStach0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPelikan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPelikanStachP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.048.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanStachBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 301 vs 67 / 12947.8%51.9%144 / 301 vs 67 / 129Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.80/Stach 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 23:00J. Pelikan—1111112113V. Stach—69131192
J. Pelikan10
WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113
V. Stach10
WSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143LSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182LSep 11 · 14:30V. Stach2.3878110M. Regner1.531111133WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113
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