Jaroslav Martinek vs Vojtech Stach 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13110138

Played Sep 11Finished

Jaroslav Martinek

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

9111191012911––

Vojtech Stach

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%

Graded at full time

Vojtech Stach to win

55.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJaroslav Martinek above · Vojtech Stach below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 55.4%

82 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Martinek 6–4 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:33

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Stach

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

6-4 in 10

Martinek

Wrong

gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Martinek 1165 vs Stach 1187

Stach

Correct

both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Martinek 40% vs Stach 60%

Stach

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Martinek 40% vs Stach 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Martinek -2 · Stach +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMartinek 2.25 / Stach 1.57

Signal prob.42% / 59%

Edge (Stach)-0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13110138

Martinek2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog48% won 21 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14

Stach1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite65% won 20 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMartinek6wins

AwayStach4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMartinek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMartinek100%4 of 4

AwayStach66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Martinek4Stach6n = 10Stach took 6 of 10

S2Martinek5Stach5n = 10split evenly

S3Martinek3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10

S4Martinek3Stach1n = 4Martinek took 3 of 4

S5Martinek3Stach0n = 3Martinek took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricMartinekStachM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.433.1+1.3per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMartinekStachBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 150 vs 66 / 12749.3%52%74 / 150 vs 66 / 127Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stach

Martinek 2.25/Stach 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.5%

Stach · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Stach won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek—5360V. Stach—1111113

WAug 25 · 23:30J. Martinek—11117113V. Stach—891141

WAug 16 · 09:28J. Martinek—1111113V. Stach—7440

WAug 16 · 07:30J. Martinek—1211117123V. Stach—147811102

LAug 15 · 08:30J. Martinek—8990V. Stach—1111113

WJun 28 · 09:14J. Martinek—1181011113V. Stach—21112472

LJun 28 · 08:00J. Martinek—91080V. Stach—1112113

LMay 9 · 02:30J. Martinek—3780V. Stach—1111113

WOct 30 · 22:30J. Martinek—911711113V. Stach—11911962

WOct 30 · 20:00J. Martinek—1111113V. Stach—9280

J. Martinek10

LSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630 LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051 WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113 WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113 LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113 LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113 WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100 LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492 WAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113 LAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113

V. Stach10

LSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112 LSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133 WSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113 WSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143 LSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182 LSep 11 · 14:30V. Stach2.3878110M. Regner1.531111133 WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113 WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101 WAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113 LAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113

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