TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110010
Played Sep 11Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116113––––
Jaroslav Martinek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Jaroslav Martinek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1198 vs Martinek 1178
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 40% vs Martinek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 40% vs Martinek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +1 · Martinek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.50 / Martinek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110010
Pelikan1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Martinek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 21 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanMartinekBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 299 vs 74 / 14947.5%49.7%142 / 299 vs 74 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.735.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.50/Martinek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelikan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691
J. Martinek10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492WAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113LAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113WAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113
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