TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110378
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511711––––
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 1–3 Josef Pelikan Jiri Hyrsl has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1103 vs Pelikan 1211
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 60% vs Pelikan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 30% vs Pelikan 50%
Pelikan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl +2 · Pelikan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 2.10 / Pelikan 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110378
Hyrsl2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 14 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Pelikan1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHyrsl1wins
AwayPelikan3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPelikan leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyrsl2Pelikan2n = 4split evenly
S2Hyrsl0Pelikan4n = 4Pelikan took 4 of 4
S3Hyrsl3Pelikan1n = 4Hyrsl took 3 of 4
S4Hyrsl2Pelikan1n = 3Hyrsl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHyrslPelikanH − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.839.5+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 117 vs 143 / 30041%47.7%48 / 117 vs 143 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.934.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanHyrsl 2.10/Pelikan 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 26 · 08:59J. Hyrsl—512100J. Pelikan—1114123
WApr 26 · 08:30J. Hyrsl—11711113J. Pelikan—511571
LJan 24 · 17:30J. Hyrsl—118111262J. Pelikan—511314113
LJan 7 · 16:00J. Hyrsl—59111182J. Pelikan—111197113
J. Hyrsl10
WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152
J. Pelikan10
WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Hyrsl
J. Pelikan
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.