TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110579
Played Sep 11Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210115––––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 60 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 65.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 1–0 Jiri Hyrsl Jiri Hyrsl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1243 vs Hyrsl 1072
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 80% vs Hyrsl 20%
Vaclavik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 50% vs Hyrsl 10%
Vaclavik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +2 · Hyrsl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.50 / Hyrsl 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110579
Vaclavik1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Hyrsl2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 14 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVaclavik1wins
AwayHyrsl0wins
Vaclavik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVaclavikHyrslV − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.031.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 181 vs 46 / 11454.1%40.4%98 / 181 vs 46 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.50/Hyrsl 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 16 · 12:00M. Vaclavik—11811113J. Hyrsl—711851
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101LSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133
J. Hyrsl10
WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 11:30V. Sr1.551111113J. Hyrsl2.309840LAug 16 · 10:00J. Hyrsl2.20511881J. Strnad1.6011711113
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