TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110419
Played Sep 11Finished
Roman Buric
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117511119311411
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Buric above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 68.8%
83 points played in total.
H2H Roman Buric 0–2 Miroslav Vaclavik Roman Buric has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Buric 1110 vs Vaclavik 1235
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buric 40% vs Vaclavik 60%
Vaclavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buric 50% vs Vaclavik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buric +2 · Vaclavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuric 3.00 / Vaclavik 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Vaclavik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110419
Buric3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog18% won 3 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Vaclavik1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBuric0wins
AwayVaclavik2wins
Vaclavik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBuricVaclavikB − VBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.541.5−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuricVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 71 vs 97 / 18039.4%53.9%28 / 71 vs 97 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikBuric 3.00/Vaclavik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 23 · 11:30R. Buric—611120M. Vaclavik—1113143
LMay 9 · 02:00R. Buric—11101251M. Vaclavik—81214113
R. Buric10
WSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133WMay 23 · 13:08M. Hubka1.50961191R. Buric2.5011115113LMay 23 · 12:30J. Cernik1.67914511133R. Buric2.101112115112LMay 23 · 11:30R. Buric2.20611120M. Vaclavik1.611113143LMay 23 · 10:30M. Hubka1.801111113R. Buric1.918270WMay 17 · 09:30L. Novotny3.008190R. Buric1.321111113WMay 17 · 08:00R. Buric1.33511811123L. Novotny3.25116117102WMay 17 · 07:30V. Kubat2.207390R. Buric1.611111113LMay 17 · 06:00R. Buric1.5311791192J. Strnad2.38411119113LMay 9 · 03:00R. Buric3.00211871J. Martinek1.3611511113
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101LSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133WMay 23 · 11:30R. Buric2.20611120M. Vaclavik1.611113143
Upcoming Matches
R. Buric
M. Vaclavik
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