TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11928423
Played May 23Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91114125111151311
Roman Buric
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Roman Buric below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 102 set 5, 13-11
102 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 6–2 Roman Buric Roman Buric has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buric form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.67 / Buric 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Cernik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11928423
Cernik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 72 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it66% 50 of 76
Buric2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog22% won 6 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCernik6wins
AwayBuric2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCernik leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik80%4 of 5
AwayBuric33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik5Buric3n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8
S2Cernik5Buric3n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8
S3Cernik5Buric3n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8
S4Cernik3Buric2n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
S5Cernik2Buric1n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricCernikBuricC − BBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.233.9+7.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikBuricBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1169 vs 42 / 10547.1%40%551 / 1169 vs 42 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.67/Buric 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMar 29 · 04:09J. Cernik—2R. Buric—3
LMar 29 · 01:00J. Cernik—0R. Buric—3
WMar 22 · 13:59J. Cernik—3R. Buric—0
WMar 22 · 13:30J. Cernik—3R. Buric—0
WFeb 14 · 02:00J. Cernik—3R. Buric—2
WNov 16 · 07:30J. Cernik—3R. Buric—1
WMar 16 · 10:09J. Cernik—3R. Buric—1
WMar 16 · 09:30J. Cernik—3R. Buric—2
J. Cernik10
WSep 10 · 13:30M. Smesny1.8011551162J. Cernik1.90611118113WSep 10 · 12:00J. Strnad3.40811871J. Cernik1.3011511113LSep 10 · 11:00M. Smesny1.83711119113J. Cernik1.8311831182WSep 10 · 10:30J. Cernik2.1061111113L. Novotny1.67117961WSep 10 · 09:10A. Hejduk1.551111101052J. Cernik2.30241212113WSep 10 · 08:00J. Srba2.10111310182J. Cernik1.676111211113LSep 10 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.571112113J. Cernik2.2541060LSep 10 · 06:30J. Cernik1.9147110L. Novotny1.801111133LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113
R. Buric10
WSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133WMay 23 · 13:08M. Hubka1.50961191R. Buric2.5011115113LMay 23 · 11:30R. Buric2.20611120M. Vaclavik1.611113143LMay 23 · 10:30M. Hubka1.801111113R. Buric1.918270WMay 17 · 09:30L. Novotny3.008190R. Buric1.321111113WMay 17 · 08:00R. Buric1.33511811123L. Novotny3.25116117102WMay 17 · 07:30V. Kubat2.207390R. Buric1.611111113LMay 17 · 06:00R. Buric1.5311791192J. Strnad2.38411119113LMay 9 · 03:00R. Buric3.00211871J. Martinek1.3611511113LMay 9 · 02:00R. Buric1.6711101251M. Vaclavik2.1081214113
Upcoming Matches
J. Cernik
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R. Buric
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