TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13117072
Played Sep 11Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311511118119––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 4–1 Jiri Hyrsl Jiri Hyrsl has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pelikan beat Hyrsl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.44 / Hyrsl 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pelikan)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13117072
Pelikan1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Hyrsl2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 14 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePelikan4wins
AwayHyrsl1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPelikan leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan100%3 of 3
AwayHyrsln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan3Hyrsl2n = 5Pelikan took 3 of 5
S2Pelikan5Hyrsl0n = 5Pelikan took 5 of 5
S3Pelikan2Hyrsl3n = 5Hyrsl took 3 of 5
S4Pelikan1Hyrsl2n = 3Hyrsl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPelikanHyrslP − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.235.2+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 302 vs 49 / 11948%41.2%145 / 302 vs 49 / 119Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.44/Hyrsl 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 11 · 19:30J. Pelikan—1111113J. Hyrsl—5570
WApr 26 · 08:59J. Pelikan—1114123J. Hyrsl—512100
LApr 26 · 08:30J. Pelikan—511571J. Hyrsl—11711113
WJan 24 · 17:30J. Pelikan—511314113J. Hyrsl—118111262
WJan 7 · 16:00J. Pelikan—111197113J. Hyrsl—59111182
J. Pelikan10
WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113
J. Hyrsl10
WSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113
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