TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110004
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Martinek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118811––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Martinek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Martinek above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Martinek at 58.6%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Martinek 1–1 Jiri Hyrsl Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Martinek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martinek 1144 vs Hyrsl 1106
Martinek
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinek 40% vs Hyrsl 60%
Hyrsl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinek 40% vs Hyrsl 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinek -3 · Hyrsl -1
Martinek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Martinek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinek 1.67 / Hyrsl 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Martinek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110004
Martinek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 17 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Hyrsl2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 14 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartinek1wins
AwayHyrsl1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMartinekHyrslM − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.044.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinekHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 151 vs 48 / 11849%40.7%74 / 151 vs 48 / 118Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinekMartinek 1.67/Hyrsl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Martinek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyrsl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 18 · 09:06J. Martinek—111211113J. Hyrsl—71111862
LApr 18 · 07:30J. Martinek—331111102J. Hyrsl—111138123
J. Martinek10
LSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492WAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113
J. Hyrsl10
LSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641
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