TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129584
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911119911119
David Mutl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Mutl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · David Mutl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held David Mutl at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 1–2 David Mutl Michal Syroha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mutl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1204 vs Mutl 1139
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 60% vs Mutl 80%
Mutl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 60% vs Mutl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -2 · Mutl +3
Mutl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mutl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mutl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.00 / Mutl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syroha)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129584
Syroha2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back16% 12 of 75
Mutl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 28 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSyroha1wins
AwayMutl2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderMutl leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha33.3%1 of 3
AwayMutln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha3Mutl0n = 3Syroha took 3 of 3
S2Syroha1Mutl2n = 3Mutl took 2 of 3
S3Syroha1Mutl2n = 3Mutl took 2 of 3
S4Syroha0Mutl3n = 3Mutl took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSyrohaMutlS − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.346.3−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaMutlBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 683 vs 65 / 13450.2%48.5%343 / 683 vs 65 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MutlSyroha 2.00/Mutl 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mutl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha51119119113D. Mutl4881191192
LAug 29 · 20:00M. Syroha4211119111D. Mutl4581311133
LJul 15 · 02:00M. Syroha4311117862D. Mutl46941111113
M. Syroha10
WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772LSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950LSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123WSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750WSep 15 · 18:00M. Varcl1.73614121172M. Syroha2.001112142113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Vrabec2.20611110M. Syroha1.601113133WSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:30M. Vrabec3.00741113113M. Syroha1.36111191152WSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102
D. Mutl10
LSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113LSep 16 · 24:00S. Mazanek1.301111113D. Mutl3.407650WSep 14 · 13:30J. Cernik2.259460D. Mutl1.571111113WSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113WSep 14 · 11:30D. Mutl1.6111114113L. Novotny2.20561191LSep 14 · 10:30J. Cernik2.10551111113D. Mutl1.6711119772WSep 14 · 08:58J. Cernik1.837950D. Mutl1.831111113LSep 14 · 08:00J. Srba2.381111113D. Mutl1.536570WSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113LSep 14 · 06:30D. Mutl1.446890J. Cernik2.631111113
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