TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129670
Played Sep 16Finished
Stanislav Mazanek
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116115––––
David Mutl
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeStanislav Mazanek to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · David Mutl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Stanislav Mazanek at 73.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 8–2 David Mutl David Mutl has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Mazanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Mazanek
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1222 vs Mutl 1139
Mazanek
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 20% vs Mutl 60%
Mutl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 30% vs Mutl 50%
Mutl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek +1 · Mutl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Mazanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mutl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 1.30 / Mutl 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Mazanek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129670
Mazanek1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 48 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Mutl3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 33 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMazanek8wins
AwayMutl2wins
Mazanek leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek75%6 of 8
AwayMutln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek8Mutl2n = 10Mazanek took 8 of 10
S2Mazanek8Mutl2n = 10Mazanek took 8 of 10
S3Mazanek7Mutl3n = 10Mazanek took 7 of 10
S4Mazanek3Mutl2n = 5Mazanek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMazanekMutlMazanek − MutlBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.429.3+8.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekMutlBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 285 vs 65 / 13449.1%48.5%140 / 285 vs 65 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazanekMazanek 1.30/Mutl 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Mazanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mazanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 01:00S. Mazanek451419123D. Mutl391217100
WJul 15 · 24:00S. Mazanek331111113D. Mutl258980
LJul 10 · 03:28S. Mazanek34119681D. Mutl4071111113
WJul 9 · 22:30S. Mazanek3961111113D. Mutl28114941
WJul 7 · 22:30S. Mazanek331111113D. Mutl186480
WJul 2 · 22:00S. Mazanek351111133D. Mutl2485110
WJun 30 · 23:00S. Mazanek4311129113D. Mutl349101141
WJun 9 · 23:30S. Mazanek4291111113D. Mutl30119191
WJun 2 · 22:30S. Mazanek331111113D. Mutl154830
LMay 19 · 23:30S. Mazanek371181171D. Mutl4051113113
S. Mazanek10
WSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113LAug 27 · 24:00V. Kosar1.501111113S. Mazanek2.502370WAug 26 · 22:30J. Pleskot1.737770S. Mazanek2.001111113WAug 19 · 03:00V. Sr1.57117531S. Mazanek2.2581111113
D. Mutl10
LSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113LSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha2.00119119113D. Mutl1.7381191192WSep 14 · 13:30J. Cernik2.259460D. Mutl1.571111113WSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113WSep 14 · 11:30D. Mutl1.6111114113L. Novotny2.20561191LSep 14 · 10:30J. Cernik2.10551111113D. Mutl1.6711119772WSep 14 · 08:58J. Cernik1.837950D. Mutl1.831111113LSep 14 · 08:00J. Srba2.381111113D. Mutl1.536570WSep 14 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.449790D. Mutl2.631111113LSep 14 · 06:30D. Mutl1.446890J. Cernik2.631111113
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