TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154123
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 12Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 12
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 11–13 Josef Pelikan Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1175 vs Pelikan 1327
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 20% vs Pelikan 100%
Pelikan
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 20% vs Pelikan 100%
Pelikan
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -3 · Pelikan +12
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelikan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.83 / Pelikan 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pelikan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154123
Grohsgott1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Pelikan1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 12
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott4wins
AwayPelikan6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott60%3 of 5
AwayPelikan80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly
S2Grohsgott5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly
S3Grohsgott4Pelikan6n = 10Pelikan took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott5Pelikan2n = 7Grohsgott took 5 of 7
S5Grohsgott2Pelikan4n = 6Pelikan took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottPelikanG − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.9+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime735 / 1512 vs 148 / 29448.6%50.3%735 / 1512 vs 148 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanGrohsgott 1.83/Pelikan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 24:30J. Grohsgott206590J. Pelikan331111113
WSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott331111113J. Pelikan182880
WAug 30 · 24:00J. Grohsgott331111113J. Pelikan195860
WJul 19 · 22:30J. Grohsgott49911711113J. Pelikan4311811672
LJul 14 · 23:30J. Grohsgott4275111182J. Pelikan44111183113
WJul 12 · 23:00J. Grohsgott531191111113J. Pelikan4061113192
LJun 15 · 20:00J. Grohsgott3871110101J. Pelikan4411912123
LMay 18 · 02:30J. Grohsgott4611691192J. Pelikan49811118113
LMay 7 · 01:30J. Grohsgott4161371142J. Pelikan521111118113
LMay 4 · 22:00J. Grohsgott4214611832J. Pelikan471211211113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113LSep 19 · 22:00M. Novotny1.5011136113J. Grohsgott2.505111161LSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131WSep 17 · 20:30J. Grohsgott1.611091111113J. Svec2.2012117582LSep 17 · 19:00J. Grohsgott2.205890M. Barta1.611111113LSep 17 · 18:00J. Strnad1.301111113J. Grohsgott3.400930WSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113LSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113LSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad1.4011119113J. Grohsgott2.75451121
J. Pelikan10
LSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113WSep 19 · 23:30M. Novotny2.5010630J. Pelikan1.501211113WSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861WSep 16 · 02:30S. Mazanek2.107680J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112
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