TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129542
Played Sep 16Finished
Stanislav Mazanek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 57.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 5–11 Josef Pelikan Stanislav Mazanek has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1257 vs Pelikan 1253
Mazanek
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 60% vs Pelikan 100%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 30% vs Pelikan 90%
Pelikan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek +3 · Pelikan +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 2.10 / Pelikan 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pelikan)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129542
Mazanek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Pelikan1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 43 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMazanek2wins
AwayPelikan8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek16.7%1 of 6
AwayPelikan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek6Pelikan4n = 10Mazanek took 6 of 10
S2Mazanek4Pelikan6n = 10Pelikan took 6 of 10
S3Mazanek5Pelikan5n = 10split evenly
S4Mazanek4Pelikan4n = 8split evenly
S5Mazanek0Pelikan6n = 6Pelikan took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMazanekPelikanM − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.541.3−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 287 vs 147 / 29749.5%49.5%142 / 287 vs 147 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanMazanek 2.10/Pelikan 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 22:30S. Mazanek29471171J. Pelikan3811115113
WJul 15 · 03:30S. Mazanek341211113J. Pelikan2110470
LJul 15 · 01:30S. Mazanek47118117102J. Pelikan48911511123
LMay 14 · 24:00S. Mazanek4811811992J. Pelikan47511911113
LMay 7 · 24:00S. Mazanek3911124752J. Pelikan529101111113
LMay 5 · 01:00S. Mazanek48114151172J. Pelikan53711177113
LApr 29 · 02:00S. Mazanek4691171182J. Pelikan46114119113
WApr 22 · 01:30S. Mazanek4291111113J. Pelikan34118691
LApr 8 · 03:00S. Mazanek44111061162J. Pelikan41312114113
LApr 8 · 01:30S. Mazanek188370J. Pelikan331111113
S. Mazanek10
LSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861WSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:00S. Mazanek1.301111113D. Mutl3.407650WSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880
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