TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13138445
Played Sep 16Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.68
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118116––
Stanislav Mazanek
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Stanislav Mazanek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 65.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 13–5 Stanislav Mazanek Stanislav Mazanek has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pelikan beat Mazanek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1290 vs Mazanek 1220
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 100% vs Mazanek 60%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 90% vs Mazanek 30%
Pelikan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +5 · Mazanek -1
Pelikan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazanek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.68 / Mazanek 2.05
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pelikan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13138445
Pelikan1.68
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 43 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Mazanek2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelikan8wins
AwayMazanek2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan80%4 of 5
AwayMazanek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan5Mazanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelikan5Mazanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pelikan5Mazanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelikan5Mazanek3n = 8Pelikan took 5 of 8
S5Pelikan5Mazanek0n = 5Pelikan took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelikanMazanekP − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.8+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanMazanekBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 299 vs 142 / 28949.8%49.1%149 / 299 vs 142 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.68/Mazanek 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan4211911113S. Mazanek34911861
WSep 16 · 02:30J. Pelikan331111113S. Mazanek217680
WJul 21 · 22:30J. Pelikan3811115113S. Mazanek29471171
LJul 15 · 03:30J. Pelikan2110470S. Mazanek341211113
WJul 15 · 01:30J. Pelikan48911511123S. Mazanek47118117102
WMay 14 · 24:00J. Pelikan47511911113S. Mazanek4811811992
WMay 7 · 24:00J. Pelikan529101111113S. Mazanek3911124752
WMay 5 · 01:00J. Pelikan53711177113S. Mazanek48114151172
WApr 29 · 02:00J. Pelikan46114119113S. Mazanek4691171182
LApr 22 · 01:30J. Pelikan34118691S. Mazanek4291111113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 16 · 02:30S. Mazanek2.107680J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880
S. Mazanek10
LSep 16 · 02:30S. Mazanek2.107680J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:00S. Mazanek1.301111113D. Mutl3.407650WSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113
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