TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139683
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114115911112––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 64 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 61.4%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 24–11 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-11 in 35
Strnad
Correct
gap of 13 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1529 vs Grohsgott 1259
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 100% vs Grohsgott 60%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 100% vs Grohsgott 40%
Strnad
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +5 · Grohsgott +2
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.40 / Grohsgott 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Strnad)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139683
Strnad1.40
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 126 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it93% 68 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 96 of 131
Grohsgott2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 134 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back23% 43 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%7 of 7
AwayGrohsgott100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Grohsgott3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Strnad5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad7Grohsgott3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad3Grohsgott3n = 6split evenly
S5Strnad2Grohsgott1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadGrohsgottS − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.432.2+6.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1121 vs 743 / 152049.4%48.9%554 / 1121 vs 743 / 1520Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.40/Grohsgott 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad4211119113J. Grohsgott22451121
WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad331111113J. Grohsgott165650
WAug 20 · 13:01J. Strnad501111611113J. Grohsgott4878111392
WAug 20 · 10:00J. Strnad3811511113J. Grohsgott30811741
WAug 19 · 01:00J. Strnad501171110113J. Grohsgott4161141282
WAug 14 · 07:30J. Strnad331111113J. Grohsgott166550
LAug 13 · 09:28J. Strnad341091141J. Grohsgott4312119113
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Strnad259880J. Grohsgott331111113
WAug 12 · 01:00J. Strnad361213113J. Grohsgott29101180
LAug 7 · 15:30J. Strnad4386111172J. Grohsgott44111165113
J. Strnad10
WSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260WSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad1.731211113P. Kulhanek2.0010790WSep 16 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.257811111J. Strnad1.5711118133WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:00J. Grohsgott1.671111113M. Vrabec2.105780LSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971
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