TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110542
Played Sep 11Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6112111131171113
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 86 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 55.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 28–23 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-23 in 51
Barta
Wrong
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1229 vs Grohsgott 1231
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 40% vs Grohsgott 0%
Barta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 40% vs Grohsgott 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta -2 · Grohsgott -5
Grohsgott
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Barta) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.67 / Grohsgott 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Barta)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110542
Barta1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 74 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Grohsgott2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 144 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back22% 44 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarta7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBarta leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarta80%4 of 5
AwayGrohsgott40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S2Barta5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Barta8Grohsgott2n = 10Barta took 8 of 10
S4Barta3Grohsgott4n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5Barta3Grohsgott1n = 4Barta took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartaGrohsgottB − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.2+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 486 vs 749 / 153446.1%48.8%224 / 486 vs 749 / 1534Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaBarta 1.67/Grohsgott 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 09:30M. Barta—941111113J. Grohsgott—11117942
LJul 26 · 08:00M. Barta—113111132J. Grohsgott—911713113
WJul 25 · 09:29M. Barta—114118143J. Grohsgott—911811122
WJul 25 · 08:00M. Barta—81111113J. Grohsgott—118681
LJul 24 · 17:30M. Barta—11960J. Grohsgott—1311113
WJul 24 · 16:00M. Barta—912116113J. Grohsgott—111071192
WJul 12 · 17:30M. Barta—1111133J. Grohsgott—53110
WJul 12 · 14:30M. Barta—1111113J. Grohsgott—7570
LJun 26 · 14:30M. Barta—611471J. Grohsgott—11511113
WJun 24 · 16:58M. Barta—111211113J. Grohsgott—314451
M. Barta10
LSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951LSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980LSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 09:28M. Regner1.309680J. Grohsgott3.401111113WSep 9 · 08:00J. Grohsgott2.00941111113L. Forman1.7311117762WSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113LSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113
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