TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110300
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 63.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 19–11 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Strnad
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1390 vs Grohsgott 1248
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Grohsgott 20%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Grohsgott 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Grohsgott -4
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.50 / Grohsgott 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Strnad)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110300
Strnad1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 130 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 100 of 136
Grohsgott2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 144 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back22% 44 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwayGrohsgott5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad80%4 of 5
AwayGrohsgott80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad7Grohsgott3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad2Grohsgott3n = 5Grohsgott took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadGrohsgottS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.433.3+2.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1114 vs 749 / 153248.7%48.9%543 / 1114 vs 749 / 1532Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.50/Grohsgott 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 07:30J. Strnad—1111113J. Grohsgott—6550
LAug 13 · 09:28J. Strnad—1091141J. Grohsgott—12119113
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Strnad—9880J. Grohsgott—1111113
WAug 12 · 01:00J. Strnad—1213113J. Grohsgott—101180
LAug 7 · 15:30J. Strnad—86111172J. Grohsgott—111165113
LAug 7 · 01:00J. Strnad—117931J. Grohsgott—41111113
LAug 6 · 11:00J. Strnad—781161J. Grohsgott—11116113
WApr 14 · 24:30J. Strnad—1111113J. Grohsgott—9730
WFeb 27 · 24:30J. Strnad—1111113J. Grohsgott—9780
WFeb 22 · 15:00J. Strnad—812915113J. Grohsgott—1110111342
J. Strnad10
WSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113LSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980LSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 09:28M. Regner1.309680J. Grohsgott3.401111113WSep 9 · 08:00J. Grohsgott2.00941111113L. Forman1.7311117762WSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113LSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
J. Grohsgott
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.