TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098225
Played Sep 9Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115117118––
Jiri Svec
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 62.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 20–11 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Strnad
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1404 vs Svec 1237
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Svec 40%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Svec 20%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +4 · Svec -2
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.44 / Svec 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Strnad)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098225
Strnad1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 131 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 140
Svec2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad8wins
AwaySvec2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad80%4 of 5
AwaySvec20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad7Svec3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad7Svec3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad4Svec2n = 6Strnad took 4 of 6
S5Strnad3Svec1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSvecStrnad − SvecBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.7+5.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 1107 vs 397 / 85248.8%46.6%540 / 1107 vs 397 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.44/Svec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad—10131110113J. Svec—121151272
WSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad—911118113J. Svec—11471162
WSep 1 · 08:30J. Strnad—1411113J. Svec—12780
WAug 14 · 09:30J. Strnad—81411113J. Svec—1112991
LAug 14 · 08:30J. Strnad—118131182J. Svec—911157113
WAug 7 · 16:58J. Strnad—71111113J. Svec—115361
WAug 7 · 16:30J. Strnad—1111113J. Svec—2870
WAug 4 · 07:00J. Strnad—164911113J. Svec—141111792
LAug 2 · 13:09J. Strnad—51080J. Svec—1112113
WAug 2 · 11:00J. Strnad—1211153J. Svec—109130
J. Strnad10
WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100
J. Svec10
LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181WSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892WSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113LSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad1 of 4 neutral
J. Svec
Nothing scheduled
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