TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098786
Played Sep 9Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116117611711117
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 27–20 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 20 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kulhanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-20 in 47
Strnad
Correct
gap of 7 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1387 vs Kulhanek 1334
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Kulhanek 60%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Kulhanek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +3 · Kulhanek +1
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Kulhanek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098786
Strnad1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kulhanek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayKulhanek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad50%3 of 6
AwayKulhanek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad6Kulhanek4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad2Kulhanek5n = 7Kulhanek took 5 of 7
S5Strnad0Kulhanek4n = 4Kulhanek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKulhanekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.5−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1106 vs 227 / 42148.7%53.9%539 / 1106 vs 227 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.83/Kulhanek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 13:30J. Strnad—111015113P. Kulhanek—9121341
LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad—5870P. Kulhanek—1111113
WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad—11119133P. Kulhanek—4111111
LSep 4 · 10:00J. Strnad—11711562P. Kulhanek—811711113
LSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad—111357112P. Kulhanek—9111111133
WAug 21 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111113P. Kulhanek—6460
LAug 20 · 11:00J. Strnad—511691P. Kulhanek—11411113
LAug 7 · 02:00J. Strnad—611111172P. Kulhanek—119713113
LAug 3 · 17:30J. Strnad—96110P. Kulhanek—1111133
LAug 3 · 14:00J. Strnad—11815482P. Kulhanek—9111311113
J. Strnad10
WSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781WSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110WSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad1 of 4 neutral
P. Kulhanek
Nothing scheduled
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