TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103398
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131210411118811
Pavel Berdych
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 21–31 Pavel Berdych Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 21 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-31 in 52
Berdych
Correct
gap of 10 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1398 vs Berdych 1287
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Berdych 40%
Strnad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 70% vs Berdych 30%
Strnad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Berdych +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.73 / Berdych 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103398
Strnad1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 132 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 102 of 138
Berdych2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad6wins
AwayBerdych4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%4 of 4
AwayBerdych66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S2Strnad6Berdych4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Strnad6Berdych4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad5Berdych5n = 10split evenly
S5Strnad3Berdych2n = 5Strnad took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadBerdychS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.840.4+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1111 vs 212 / 43248.8%49.1%542 / 1111 vs 212 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.73/Berdych 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 12 · 24:00J. Strnad—111595123P. Berdych—1131111102
WApr 4 · 24:00J. Strnad—11119113P. Berdych—891131
WMar 7 · 10:30J. Strnad—1071113123P. Berdych—1211311102
WMar 7 · 08:30J. Strnad—7111110113P. Berdych—11771232
LFeb 22 · 18:30J. Strnad—491491P. Berdych—111112113
LFeb 22 · 16:00J. Strnad—71571182P. Berdych—1113119113
WFeb 1 · 08:00J. Strnad—11116113P. Berdych—851151
WDec 29 · 04:11J. Strnad—14811113P. Berdych—1211561
LDec 29 · 01:30J. Strnad—481191P. Berdych—11113113
LDec 21 · 18:30J. Strnad—91111652P. Berdych—116211113
J. Strnad10
LSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113WSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113
P. Berdych10
LSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113LSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110LAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113LAug 30 · 24:00D. Priesol1.28881313113P. Berdych3.501111111142
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