TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111539
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
211711115116411
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 79 set 5, 4-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 6–16 Miroslav Novotny Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.75 / Novotny 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Strnad)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111539
Strnad2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 97 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Novotny1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 31 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad1wins
AwayNovotny9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad33.3%1 of 3
AwayNovotny100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad3Novotny7n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S2Strnad3Novotny7n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S3Strnad3Novotny7n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S4Strnad1Novotny6n = 7Novotny took 6 of 7
S5Strnad1Novotny2n = 3Novotny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadNovotnyS − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.1−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1112 vs 157 / 33548.7%46.9%542 / 1112 vs 157 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 2.75/Novotny 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad—1111910113M. Novotny—99111252
LSep 6 · 02:00J. Strnad—9811101M. Novotny—11119123
LAug 22 · 19:30J. Strnad—971181M. Novotny—11117113
LAug 15 · 20:00J. Strnad—7770M. Novotny—1111113
LAug 3 · 16:30J. Strnad—8111181M. Novotny—11713113
LAug 1 · 24:00J. Strnad—129121132M. Novotny—1011146113
LJul 4 · 23:30J. Strnad—6670M. Novotny—1111113
LJun 7 · 01:30J. Strnad—1271181M. Novotny—14118113
LMay 1 · 22:30J. Strnad—111180M. Novotny—1313113
LMar 21 · 24:30J. Strnad—11118682M. Novotny—531111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113
M. Novotny10
LSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
M. Novotny
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