TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104994
Played Sep 10Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 11–7 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kosar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Berdych
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1267 vs Kosar 1417
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 20% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 30% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych +1 · Kosar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 1.91 / Kosar 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosar)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104994
Berdych1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Kosar1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 63 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerdych7wins
AwayKosar3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerdych71.4%5 of 7
AwayKosar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berdych7Kosar3n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Berdych7Kosar3n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S3Berdych5Kosar5n = 10split evenly
S4Berdych4Kosar3n = 7Berdych took 4 of 7
S5Berdych2Kosar1n = 3Berdych took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerdychKosarB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.7+5.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 431 vs 219 / 42349%51.8%211 / 431 vs 219 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarBerdych 1.91/Kosar 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 02:30P. Berdych—1071391V. Kosar—121111113
LAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych—11115872V. Kosar—671111113
WAug 9 · 15:00P. Berdych—711511113V. Kosar—11911672
WApr 19 · 24:00P. Berdych—11711113V. Kosar—711681
WApr 4 · 01:00P. Berdych—11118113V. Kosar—961181
LFeb 25 · 17:59P. Berdych—117881V. Kosar—81111113
WFeb 25 · 15:00P. Berdych—611711113V. Kosar—11311452
WSep 14 · 12:00P. Berdych—1111123V. Kosar—48100
WAug 30 · 22:00P. Berdych—1111113V. Kosar—7670
WAug 3 · 02:00P. Berdych—1112113V. Kosar—61030
P. Berdych10
WSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113LSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110LAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113LAug 30 · 24:00D. Priesol1.28881313113P. Berdych3.501111111142LAug 29 · 22:30L. Sulava1.4491111123P. Berdych2.631149101WAug 27 · 20:58J. Framberk1.537450P. Berdych2.381111113
V. Kosar10
WSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 03:30A. Svoboda1.551111113V. Kosar2.308570LSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113
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