TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092954
Played Sep 8Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511611116118
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 67.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 2–1 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1396 vs Svoboda 1533
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Svoboda 90%
Svoboda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +3 · Svoboda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.63 / Svoboda 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092954
Kosar2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Svoboda1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosar2wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKosar leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar2Svoboda1n = 3Kosar took 2 of 3
S2Kosar0Svoboda3n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
S3Kosar1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S4Kosar2Svoboda1n = 3Kosar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosarSvobodaK − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.040.7−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 419 vs 145 / 28351.8%51.2%217 / 419 vs 145 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaKosar 2.63/Svoboda 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar—115611113A. Svoboda—71111682
LApr 25 · 03:30V. Kosar—561121A. Svoboda—11119113
WApr 24 · 23:00V. Kosar—114311113A. Svoboda—31111662
V. Kosar10
WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960
A. Svoboda10
WSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730WSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113WSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640LSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113
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