TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092916
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 56.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 3–8 Adam Svoboda Tomas Regner has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1408 vs Svoboda 1545
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 20% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.38 / Svoboda 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092916
Regner2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back26% 37 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Svoboda1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwaySvoboda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner37.5%3 of 8
AwaySvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner8Svoboda2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S2Regner5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Regner3Svoboda7n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S4Regner3Svoboda6n = 9Svoboda took 6 of 9
S5Regner0Svoboda3n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerSvobodaR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.9−2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 971 vs 143 / 28049.5%51.1%481 / 971 vs 143 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaRegner 2.38/Svoboda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:00T. Regner—1111113A. Svoboda—5540
LAug 23 · 07:00T. Regner—11891142A. Svoboda—611116113
LJun 6 · 02:00T. Regner—1111691A. Svoboda—91311113
LApr 3 · 22:30T. Regner—11211352A. Svoboda—811611113
LMar 27 · 23:00T. Regner—1011791A. Svoboda—12911113
LNov 25 · 03:00T. Regner—861391A. Svoboda—111111113
LNov 23 · 04:00T. Regner—11116472A. Svoboda—991111113
WNov 22 · 23:30T. Regner—11127113A. Svoboda—4101141
LNov 20 · 04:30T. Regner—117881A. Svoboda—91111113
WNov 19 · 23:30T. Regner—11127163A. Svoboda—51011141
T. Regner10
WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651
A. Svoboda10
WSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113WSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640LSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113
Upcoming Matches
T. Regner
A. Svoboda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.