TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092703
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511911––––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fejtek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-5
Point 43 set 3, 6-5 — our read held Ondrej Fejtek at 54.0%
43 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Tomas Regner 1–1 Ondrej Fejtek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fejtek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1419 vs Fejtek 1499
Fejtek
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Fejtek 60%
Fejtek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 30% vs Fejtek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Fejtek +3
Fejtek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fejtek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.00 / Fejtek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fejtek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092703
Regner2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back26% 37 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Fejtek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRegner1wins
AwayFejtek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRegnerFejtekR − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.535.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 970 vs 30 / 5149.6%58.8%481 / 970 vs 30 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekRegner 2.00/Fejtek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner—111112862O. Fejtek—9131011113
WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner—1111113O. Fejtek—7270
T. Regner10
WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171
O. Fejtek10
WSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123LJan 27 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.44111171062D. Parhomenko2.63451112113WJan 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.101191161O. Fejtek1.6713119113LJan 27 · 24:30J. Blazek1.73149138163O. Fejtek2.0012111111142LJan 26 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.808550L. Babicka1.911111113LDec 27 · 22:00B. Nguyen1.73117911113O. Fejtek2.0091111762
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