TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092328
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191188111412––
Tomas Regner
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 84 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Jan Framberk at 59.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 6–3 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Framberk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1420 vs Regner 1423
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 60% vs Regner 20%
Framberk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 60% vs Regner 30%
Framberk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk -1 · Regner -4
Regner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 2.00 / Regner 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Regner)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092328
Framberk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Regner1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 99 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it73% 67 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFramberk6wins
AwayRegner3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderFramberk leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFramberk71.4%5 of 7
AwayRegnern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk7Regner2n = 9Framberk took 7 of 9
S2Framberk4Regner5n = 9Regner took 5 of 9
S3Framberk5Regner4n = 9Framberk took 5 of 9
S4Framberk5Regner3n = 8Framberk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricFramberkRegnerF − RBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match40.136.4+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 139 vs 480 / 96754%49.6%75 / 139 vs 480 / 967Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerFramberk 2.00/Regner 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk—11118143T. Regner—9811121
WAug 6 · 21:00J. Framberk—1111113T. Regner—4870
WAug 6 · 19:30J. Framberk—11611113T. Regner—611971
WJul 29 · 16:00J. Framberk—111011113T. Regner—612541
WJul 22 · 15:30J. Framberk—11711113T. Regner—911891
WJul 14 · 16:00J. Framberk—911118113T. Regner—11381172
LJun 21 · 17:00J. Framberk—1110971T. Regner—71211113
LJun 21 · 15:00J. Framberk—13761192T. Regner—1111115113
LJun 21 · 11:30J. Framberk—911811T. Regner—11911113
J. Framberk10
LSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113
T. Regner10
LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270
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