TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092330
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10125111012––––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Framberk at 59.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 6–6 Martin Stefek Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1426 vs Stefek 1299
Framberk
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 60% vs Stefek 20%
Framberk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 60% vs Stefek 10%
Framberk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk +2 · Stefek -3
Stefek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 2.00 / Stefek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092330
Framberk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Stefek1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 91 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFramberk5wins
AwayStefek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFramberk80%4 of 5
AwayStefek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S2Framberk2Stefek8n = 10Stefek took 8 of 10
S3Framberk6Stefek4n = 10Framberk took 6 of 10
S4Framberk3Stefek3n = 6split evenly
S5Framberk2Stefek1n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFramberkStefekF − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.736.2−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 137 vs 566 / 119154%47.5%74 / 137 vs 566 / 1191Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekFramberk 2.00/Stefek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 20:00J. Framberk—781111113M. Stefek—11117692
LAug 3 · 24:00J. Framberk—8910M. Stefek—1111113
LJul 29 · 18:30J. Framberk—91380M. Stefek—1115113
WJul 29 · 15:00J. Framberk—111011123M. Stefek—9123101
WJul 22 · 17:28J. Framberk—151189113M. Stefek—134111162
LJul 22 · 14:30J. Framberk—11711872M. Stefek—311911113
WJun 16 · 17:00J. Framberk—12611113M. Stefek—1011851
WJun 16 · 15:00J. Framberk—1111113M. Stefek—5450
LJun 6 · 24:30J. Framberk—271241M. Stefek—111110113
LMay 22 · 11:00J. Framberk—7590M. Stefek—1111113
J. Framberk10
WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113LAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113
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