TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087587
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
211116115911511
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 82 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 61.2%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 16–24 Radek Bartunek Tomas Regner has won 16 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-24 in 40
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 8 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1409 vs Bartunek 1434
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 0% vs Bartunek 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 20% vs Bartunek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -5 · Bartunek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.38 / Bartunek 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bartunek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087587
Regner2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 124 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back26% 37 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Bartunek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwayBartunek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner75%3 of 4
AwayBartunek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Regner3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S3Regner6Bartunek4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Regner1Bartunek6n = 7Bartunek took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerBartunekR − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.537.4−4.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 968 vs 344 / 66649.6%51.7%480 / 968 vs 344 / 666Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekRegner 2.38/Bartunek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner—8560R. Bartunek—1111113
WAug 26 · 02:30T. Regner—1111113R. Bartunek—6540
LAug 18 · 01:00T. Regner—711861R. Bartunek—11911113
WAug 2 · 24:00T. Regner—129154113R. Bartunek—1011131182
LJul 24 · 22:00T. Regner—461191R. Bartunek—11119113
LJun 22 · 20:30T. Regner—7560R. Bartunek—1111113
LJun 3 · 20:00T. Regner—861141R. Bartunek—11118113
LMay 25 · 20:00T. Regner—541161R. Bartunek—11115113
LMay 10 · 07:00T. Regner—1111112102R. Bartunek—513311123
WApr 19 · 20:00T. Regner—11119113R. Bartunek—771181
T. Regner10
LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071WSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101LSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113LSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
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