TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087580
Played Sep 8Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611115611711––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 12–19 Vaclav Dolezal Radek Bartunek has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-19 in 31
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1446 vs Dolezal 1430
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 20% vs Dolezal 40%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 30% vs Dolezal 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -4 · Dolezal +1
Bartunek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.00 / Dolezal 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087580
Bartunek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Dolezal1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 134 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 97 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayDolezal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek33.3%1 of 3
AwayDolezal57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Bartunek4Dolezal6n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S3Bartunek8Dolezal2n = 10Bartunek took 8 of 10
S4Bartunek3Dolezal6n = 9Dolezal took 6 of 9
S5Bartunek1Dolezal2n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekDolezalB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.8−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 665 vs 371 / 75651.7%49.1%344 / 665 vs 371 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBartunek 2.00/Dolezal 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 20:58R. Bartunek—51111113V. Dolezal—119591
LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek—15311862V. Dolezal—1311811113
WAug 21 · 03:07R. Bartunek—11141412113V. Dolezal—316121492
LAug 21 · 02:30R. Bartunek—1112731V. Dolezal—71411113
LJun 6 · 24:00R. Bartunek—68100V. Dolezal—1111123
WMay 18 · 21:00R. Bartunek—41111113V. Dolezal—114761
LMay 18 · 19:30R. Bartunek—91111962V. Dolezal—119711113
LMay 15 · 22:00R. Bartunek—471191V. Dolezal—11118113
LMay 6 · 16:00R. Bartunek—11101151V. Dolezal—13129113
WMar 22 · 03:30R. Bartunek—71112123V. Dolezal—11510101
R. Bartunek10
LSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113
V. Dolezal10
WSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113WSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113
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