TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092329
Played Sep 8Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711119––
Jan Framberk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:31 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 4–1 Jan Framberk Jan Framberk has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1442 vs Framberk 1420
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Framberk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 40% vs Framberk 60%
Framberk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +2 · Framberk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.40 / Framberk 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092329
Dolezal1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 134 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 97 of 122
Framberk2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDolezal4wins
AwayFramberk1wins
Dolezal leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal100%4 of 4
AwayFramberkn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal4Framberk1n = 5Dolezal took 4 of 5
S2Dolezal2Framberk3n = 5Framberk took 3 of 5
S3Dolezal5Framberk0n = 5Dolezal took 5 of 5
S4Dolezal2Framberk1n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDolezalFramberkD − FBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match36.628.6+8.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 757 vs 75 / 13949.1%54%372 / 757 vs 75 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.40/Framberk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 7 · 01:30V. Dolezal—1311113J. Framberk—11980
WJun 12 · 01:00V. Dolezal—11711113J. Framberk—411491
WJun 6 · 03:01V. Dolezal—1111113J. Framberk—8790
LJun 6 · 02:00V. Dolezal—761191J. Framberk—11112113
WMay 22 · 10:00V. Dolezal—11911113J. Framberk—911351
V. Dolezal10
WSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113
J. Framberk10
WSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091
Upcoming Matches
V. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
J. Framberk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.