TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086848
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119116611611116
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 7–6 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1318 vs Bartunek 1461
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 40% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 20% vs Bartunek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +1 · Bartunek -3
Bartunek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.91 / Bartunek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartunek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086848
Stefek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 187 of 434
Down 0–1, comes back23% 56 of 244
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 146
Bartunek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek6wins
AwayBartunek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek100%5 of 5
AwayBartunek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S3Stefek6Bartunek4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Stefek1Bartunek4n = 5Bartunek took 4 of 5
S5Stefek3Bartunek0n = 3Stefek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekBartunekS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.8−1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1192 vs 348 / 66947.6%52%567 / 1192 vs 348 / 669Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekStefek 1.91/Bartunek 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 20:30M. Stefek—119124113R. Bartunek—511101192
WAug 6 · 22:00M. Stefek—1111113R. Bartunek—9890
WJun 6 · 01:30M. Stefek—1111113R. Bartunek—5860
LJun 3 · 21:30M. Stefek—5530R. Bartunek—1111113
WJun 3 · 19:30M. Stefek—1161112113R. Bartunek—91181482
LMay 30 · 20:00M. Stefek—1311541R. Bartunek—15311113
WMay 12 · 18:30M. Stefek—661811113R. Bartunek—111116592
LMay 1 · 03:30M. Stefek—1011661R. Bartunek—12611113
WApr 30 · 23:00M. Stefek—1111113R. Bartunek—3790
LApr 27 · 19:30M. Stefek—4350R. Bartunek—1111113
M. Stefek10
WSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113
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