TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13100910
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112811113119––
Milan Fisera
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 66 set 4, 11-9
66 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 7–3 Milan Fisera Milan Fisera has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Regner beat Fisera 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fisera form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.50 / Fisera 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Regner)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13100910
Regner1.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 99 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93
Fisera2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 19 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner7wins
AwayFisera3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%6 of 6
AwayFisera75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner6Fisera4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Regner6Fisera4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Regner8Fisera2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S4Regner2Fisera3n = 5Fisera took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerFiseraR − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.8+4.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 972 vs 164 / 35049.5%46.9%481 / 972 vs 164 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.50/Fisera 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 18:00T. Regner—1212113M. Fisera—101070
WAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner—111111113M. Fisera—135251
WAug 8 · 18:30T. Regner—13117113M. Fisera—1191181
WMar 29 · 16:30T. Regner—1113113M. Fisera—91160
WMar 12 · 13:00T. Regner—1111113M. Fisera—2820
WMar 9 · 16:30T. Regner—119116113M. Fisera—81161192
LApr 13 · 15:30T. Regner—4470M. Fisera—1111113
LApr 2 · 19:30T. Regner—7111181M. Fisera—11139113
LMar 17 · 21:00T. Regner—791191M. Fisera—11119113
WMar 13 · 12:30T. Regner—1114113M. Fisera—51280
T. Regner10
LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651
M. Fisera10
WSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192LSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640LSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162
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