TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092762
Played Sep 8Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116114––––
Milan Fisera
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1531 vs Fisera 1535
Fisera
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Fisera 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 70% vs Fisera 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Fisera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fisera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.53 / Fisera 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092762
Svoboda1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Fisera2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 19 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 279 vs 163 / 34850.9%46.8%142 / 279 vs 163 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.53/Fisera 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Svoboda10
LSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113
M. Fisera10
LSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370LAug 8 · 21:30T. Regner1.52111111113M. Fisera2.35135251
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