TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092838
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Novak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1715116911111––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Novak to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 81 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Martin Novak at 58.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Martin Novak 2–0 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Novak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novak 1466 vs Kosar 1422
Novak
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 40% vs Kosar 100%
Kosar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 40% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak +1 · Kosar +5
Kosar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.57 / Kosar 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092838
Novak1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 20 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Kosar2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNovak2wins
AwayKosar0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderNovak leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNovakKosarN − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match49.548.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 59 vs 218 / 42061%51.9%36 / 59 vs 218 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.57/Kosar 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 1 · 22:30M. Novak—571111113V. Kosar—11116892
WMay 9 · 01:30M. Novak—1013119113V. Kosar—121191182
M. Novak10
LSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak1.679127111R. Hasmanda2.10111011133WSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110LSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730WSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591
V. Kosar10
WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142
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