TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092931
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Novak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151311––––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 55.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Martin Novak 1–2 Rotislav Hasmanda Martin Novak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hasmanda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novak 1453 vs Hasmanda 1416
Novak
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 20% vs Hasmanda 40%
Hasmanda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 30% vs Hasmanda 50%
Hasmanda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -1 · Hasmanda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hasmanda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 2.10 / Hasmanda 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hasmanda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092931
Novak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 14 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Hasmanda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 117 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 91 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNovak1wins
AwayHasmanda2wins
Hasmanda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHasmanda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novak0Hasmanda3n = 3Hasmanda took 3 of 3
S2Novak2Hasmanda1n = 3Novak took 2 of 3
S3Novak1Hasmanda2n = 3Hasmanda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricNovakHasmandaN − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match28.736.3−7.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 58 vs 391 / 79060.3%49.5%35 / 58 vs 391 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaNovak 2.10/Hasmanda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 6 · 23:30M. Novak—411661R. Hasmanda—11811113
LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak—8840R. Hasmanda—1111113
WJul 9 · 12:30M. Novak—61111113R. Hasmanda—119691
M. Novak10
LSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730WSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143
Upcoming Matches
M. Novak
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R. Hasmanda
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