Martin Novak vs Rotislav Hasmanda 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13101930

Played Sep 9Finished

Martin Novak

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

91112107111113––

Rotislav Hasmanda

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Martin Novak to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMartin Novak above · Rotislav Hasmanda below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Martin Novak at 61.7%

84 points played in total.

H2H Martin Novak 2–3 Rotislav Hasmanda Martin Novak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 2–3Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Novak beat Hasmanda 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:54

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Novak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-3 in 5

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Novak 1473 vs Hasmanda 1399

Novak

Wrong

both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Novak 60% vs Hasmanda 20%

Novak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Novak 50% vs Hasmanda 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Novak +2 · Hasmanda -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Novak) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hasmanda form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNovak 1.67 / Hasmanda 2.10

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Novak)-0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13101930

Novak1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 20 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14

Hasmanda2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 68 of 171

Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 90

Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeNovak2wins

AwayHasmanda3wins

Hasmanda leads 3–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeNovakn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayHasmanda75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Novak1Hasmanda4n = 5Hasmanda took 4 of 5

S2Novak4Hasmanda1n = 5Novak took 4 of 5

S3Novak2Hasmanda3n = 5Hasmanda took 3 of 5

S4Novak1Hasmanda2n = 3Hasmanda took 2 of 3

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away240%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricNovakHasmandaN − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match32.035.6−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricNovakHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 61 vs 392 / 79360.7%49.4%37 / 61 vs 392 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Novak

Novak 1.67/Hasmanda 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.4%

Novak · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Hasmanda won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak—9127111R. Hasmanda—111011133

WSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak—1111133R. Hasmanda—85110

LSep 6 · 23:30M. Novak—411661R. Hasmanda—11811113

LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak—8840R. Hasmanda—1111113

WJul 9 · 12:30M. Novak—61111113R. Hasmanda—119691

M. Novak10

WSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111 WSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110 LSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730 WSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113 LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961 LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113 LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471 LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661 WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630 WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591

R. Hasmanda10

LSep 9 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.441111123R. Hasmanda2.6396100 LSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110 WSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781 LSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113 LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090 LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030 WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133 WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661 WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580 LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161

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