TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092765
Played Sep 9Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911411113112114
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 77 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 55.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 6–12 Lubor Sulava Vaclav Kosar has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sulava
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Sulava
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1410 vs Sulava 1446
Sulava
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 80% vs Sulava 60%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +4 · Sulava -2
Kosar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.00 / Sulava 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulava)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092765
Kosar2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Sulava1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 122 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 90 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar3wins
AwaySulava7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar50%3 of 6
AwaySulava100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar6Sulava4n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S2Kosar4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S3Kosar3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S4Kosar1Sulava5n = 6Sulava took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarSulavaK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.835.8−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 419 vs 479 / 96451.8%49.7%217 / 419 vs 479 / 964Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaKosar 2.00/Sulava 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar—1411113L. Sulava—12960
WAug 22 · 03:00V. Kosar—1181111113L. Sulava—51113922
LAug 21 · 22:30V. Kosar—71090L. Sulava—1112113
LAug 10 · 22:30V. Kosar—43100L. Sulava—1111123
WAug 7 · 22:30V. Kosar—1112113L. Sulava—71060
LAug 5 · 12:00V. Kosar—791161L. Sulava—11117113
LJul 24 · 14:30V. Kosar—115991L. Sulava—71111113
LJul 13 · 22:30V. Kosar—111199102L. Sulava—321111123
LJun 2 · 01:00V. Kosar—611881L. Sulava—11511113
LMay 30 · 23:00V. Kosar—127591L. Sulava—101111113
V. Kosar10
WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113
L. Sulava10
LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113LSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113
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