TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110487
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911119115––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timePavel Berdych to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Pavel Berdych at 63.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 6–1 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Berdych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Berdych
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1319 vs Barta 1238
Berdych
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 80% vs Barta 60%
Berdych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 50% vs Barta 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych +1 · Barta -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Berdych) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 1.40 / Barta 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Berdych)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110487
Berdych1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 56 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Barta2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBerdych6wins
AwayBarta1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBerdych leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerdych83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berdych6Barta1n = 7Berdych took 6 of 7
S2Berdych5Barta2n = 7Berdych took 5 of 7
S3Berdych6Barta1n = 7Berdych took 6 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBerdychBartaBerdych − BartaBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match36.426.7+9.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 435 vs 224 / 48549.2%46.2%214 / 435 vs 224 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerdychBerdych 1.40/Barta 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Berdych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 11 · 18:30P. Berdych—11119572M. Barta—581111113
WApr 1 · 19:00P. Berdych—981111113M. Barta—11118692
WMar 30 · 18:00P. Berdych—1111113M. Barta—5990
WMar 27 · 19:30P. Berdych—1111113M. Barta—5590
WFeb 22 · 15:30P. Berdych—118112M. Barta—61191
WNov 5 · 15:00P. Berdych—1111113M. Barta—4460
WNov 4 · 21:30P. Berdych—1111113M. Barta—2750
P. Berdych10
WSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113LSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110
M. Barta10
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122
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