TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140375
Played Sep 16Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181412116––––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 62 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 76–79 Vaclav Hruska Sr Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 76 of their 155 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-79 in 155
Sr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 155, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1509 vs Sr 1334
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 100% vs Sr 60%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 90% vs Sr 70%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +5 · Sr +2
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.67 / Sr 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140375
Strnad1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 92 of 127
Sr2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad7wins
AwaySr3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad87.5%7 of 8
AwaySrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad8Sr2n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S2Strnad5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad3Sr3n = 6split evenly
S5Strnad3Sr1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSrStrnad − SrBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.7+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSrBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 1120 vs 461 / 98349.4%46.9%553 / 1120 vs 461 / 983Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.67/Sr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad4111811113V. Sr31811571
LSep 12 · 19:30J. Strnad341111481V. Sr4381311113
WAug 18 · 22:00J. Strnad501111107113V. Sr4597121162
WAug 17 · 16:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr169430
WAug 16 · 12:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr229760
LAug 15 · 20:59J. Strnad4671181192V. Sr44114117113
WAug 15 · 18:30J. Strnad531112118113V. Sr3521431152
WAug 13 · 06:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr197840
WAug 12 · 02:00J. Strnad551481111113V. Sr49121113852
LAug 2 · 10:30J. Strnad204790V. Sr331111113
J. Strnad10
WSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad1.731211113P. Kulhanek2.0010790WSep 16 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.257811111J. Strnad1.5711118133WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:30V. Sr2.0081311113J. Strnad1.731111481
V. Sr10
LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100WSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113LSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641WSep 12 · 20:58V. Sr2.001311113M. Novotny1.7311360LSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110WSep 12 · 19:30V. Sr2.0081311113J. Strnad1.731111481
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