TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124032
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311811116117711
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 20–28 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Pavel Kulhanek has won 20 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-28 in 48
Strnad
Correct
gap of 8 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1363 vs Strnad 1418
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 80% vs Strnad 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 50% vs Strnad 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek +2 · Strnad +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 2.00 / Strnad 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Strnad)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124032
Kulhanek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Strnad1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 121 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 91 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek6wins
AwayStrnad4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek100%4 of 4
AwayStrnad66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Kulhanek4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Kulhanek6Strnad4n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Kulhanek5Strnad2n = 7Kulhanek took 5 of 7
S5Kulhanek3Strnad1n = 4Kulhanek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekStrnadK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.0+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 425 vs 548 / 112153.7%48.9%228 / 425 vs 548 / 1121Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadKulhanek 2.00/Strnad 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 11:00P. Kulhanek4267111172J. Strnad46111167113
LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek389121341J. Strnad47111015113
WSep 7 · 11:00P. Kulhanek331111113J. Strnad205870
LSep 4 · 13:30P. Kulhanek274111111J. Strnad4411119133
WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek48811711113J. Strnad4011711562
WSep 2 · 23:30P. Kulhanek559111111133J. Strnad47111357112
LAug 21 · 23:00P. Kulhanek166460J. Strnad331111113
WAug 20 · 11:00P. Kulhanek3711411113J. Strnad31511691
WAug 7 · 02:00P. Kulhanek51119713113J. Strnad46611111172
WAug 3 · 17:30P. Kulhanek351111133J. Strnad2696110
P. Kulhanek10
WSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110WSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Kulhanek2.63913691M. Chalupnicek1.44111111113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110LSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381
J. Strnad10
WSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:30V. Sr2.0081311113J. Strnad1.731111481WSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011WSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650WSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113
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