TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115336
Played Sep 12Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111151210111––
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timePavel Berdych to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 68 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Pavel Berdych at 58.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 23–33 Pavel Berdych Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 23 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Berdych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-33 in 56
Berdych
Wrong
gap of 10 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1392 vs Berdych 1335
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Berdych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Berdych 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Berdych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Berdych) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.91 / Berdych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Berdych)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115336
Strnad1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 96 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Berdych1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad6wins
AwayBerdych4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%3 of 3
AwayBerdych57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Strnad7Berdych3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad6Berdych4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad6Berdych4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S5Strnad3Berdych3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadBerdychS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.643.4+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1117 vs 216 / 43848.8%49.3%545 / 1117 vs 216 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerdychStrnad 1.91/Berdych 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Berdych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 17:29J. Strnad4151114113P. Berdych371191251
LSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad4691113582P. Berdych461121111113
LSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad46111241182P. Berdych531310118113
WSep 5 · 22:00J. Strnad4211911113P. Berdych34611981
WApr 12 · 24:00J. Strnad52111595123P. Berdych461131111102
WApr 4 · 24:00J. Strnad4211119113P. Berdych31891131
WMar 7 · 10:30J. Strnad531071113123P. Berdych471211311102
WMar 7 · 08:30J. Strnad507111110113P. Berdych4011771232
LFeb 22 · 18:30J. Strnad36491491P. Berdych45111112113
LFeb 22 · 16:00J. Strnad4871571182P. Berdych551113119113
J. Strnad10
WSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650WSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113LSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781
P. Berdych10
LSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951WSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821
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